The diagnostic · v0.1 working draft

System Readiness Levels.

A diagnostic for the maturity of a system around a problem, not of any single product. Where NASA’s TRL asks whether a technology works, the SRL asks whether the world is ready to carry a change: nine levels, read across six levers.

Levels · 9, banded into Experiments / Infrastructure / Ecosystem
Levers · public opinion, research, solutions, orchestration, policy, capital
Rule · the weakest lever sets the level
Worked example · Campaign 01, Guardian Angel

Six levers, scored separately.

A system moves when six levers move: do people care, is the science done, do builders exist, is anyone convening, does the rulebook help, is money available. Each lever is rated at the highest level whose conditions are fully met, with at least one citable piece of evidence; partial credit rounds down. Arrows can note 12-month momentum.

The weakest lever sets the level.

A system’s readiness is the minimum of its six scores, because systems scale at the pace of their most binding constraint. The lowest lever names the next work; the work is done; the diagnostic is rerun. Where established scales exist for a lever, they serve as instruments: TRL for the technology, venture readiness for the builders.

Levels 1–3 · Experiments · the ground
1

Unnamed

The problem exists but has no shared name or owner.
Public opinion

The problem is experienced but not talked about; no common name appears in media or everyday speech.

Research & evidence

Scattered studies touch the problem without naming it; no review or shared agenda ties them together.

Solutions & startups

No dedicated solutions exist; workarounds are improvised locally and never shared.

Orchestration

Nobody convenes; the people touching the problem do not know of each other.

Policy & regulation

No policy instrument recognises the problem; it is invisible in regulation and budgets.

Capital

No funder category exists; money reaches the problem only by accident.

2

Framed

Named, mapped and spoken about; research underway.
Public opinion

The problem has a name that circulates; early advocates and occasional media coverage exist.

Research & evidence

The field is mapped: problem definitions, key questions and a first shared research agenda are published.

Solutions & startups

Concept-stage solutions and a handful of early builders can be listed by name.

Orchestration

A first convenor is naming the field, mapping the players and making introductions.

Policy & regulation

The problem appears in inquiries, consultations or reports, but no instrument yet acts on it.

Capital

Grant and philanthropic money funds discovery; no repeatable funding route exists.

3

Demonstrated

A solution works in at least one real place.
Public opinion

Stories of the solution working in a real place reach general audiences and get retold.

Research & evidence

Independently verifiable evidence shows the approach works in at least one real setting.

Solutions & startups

At least one solution runs live in a real setting; builders exist at working-prototype stage or beyond.

Orchestration

A working group with named members meets regularly around the demonstration sites.

Policy & regulation

Local authorities or single institutions grant the permissions, waivers or trials that let demonstrations run.

Capital

Pilot funding is winnable on merit: grants, angels or a first institutional cheque back demonstrations.

Levels 4–6 · Infrastructure · the connective layer
4

Networked

The players know each other; a coalition holds a common agenda.
Public opinion

A recognisable movement exists: organised advocates, recurring events, a public identity bigger than any one organisation.

Research & evidence

Multiple groups replicate and compare results; findings accumulate in a shared, citable base.

Solutions & startups

Several independent builders serve the field; leading ventures reach validated-outcome stage.

Orchestration

A backbone organisation holds a common agenda that named partners have signed.

Policy & regulation

Policymakers engage the coalition directly; the problem enters formal strategies and agendas.

Capital

Funders co-invest knowingly in the field; a visible pipeline of fundable projects exists.

5

Standardised

Shared standards, methods and data make results comparable.
Public opinion

The narrative settles into the mainstream: the ask is understood without being explained from scratch.

Research & evidence

Shared methods, metrics and datasets let results be compared across sites and studies.

Solutions & startups

Products interoperate through shared standards; switching between vendors is realistic.

Orchestration

The backbone maintains the standards, the shared measurement and an open evidence base the field actually uses.

Policy & regulation

Standards or guidelines are referenced by public bodies: procurement guidance, codes, certification.

Capital

Deals are priced on comparable data; funding instruments fit the field’s asset and revenue shapes.

6

Embedded

Institutions and procurement carry it routinely.
Public opinion

Public expectation begins: the absence of the solution draws criticism in the settings it serves.

Research & evidence

Evaluation is routine: outcomes data flows from operating sites into the public evidence base.

Solutions & startups

Multiple vendors deliver at operational scale; procurement can buy without bespoke design.

Orchestration

Coordination is institutionalised: roles, funding and governance no longer depend on founding individuals.

Policy & regulation

The solution appears in procurement frameworks, building codes or service specifications as a recognised option.

Capital

Mainstream budget lines and commercial capital fund deployments as ordinary business.

Levels 7–9 · Ecosystem · the wider system
7

Sanctioned

The rulebook and the public actively stand behind it.
Public opinion

Broad public support makes rollback politically costly; opposition is marginal.

Research & evidence

The evidence base is authoritative: systematic reviews and official statistics report on the field.

Solutions & startups

A competitive market of providers exists, with recognised categories and market data.

Orchestration

Sector bodies and public agencies share stewardship; the original orchestrator is one voice among several.

Policy & regulation

Regulation actively requires or incentivises the practice: mandates, reimbursement, tax treatment.

Capital

Institutional capital allocates to the category through standard vehicles at market terms.

8

Mainstreamed

The default choice in its settings, funded on ordinary terms.
Public opinion

The practice is assumed: media treat it as normal, not news.

Research & evidence

Research shifts from “does it work” to optimisation and equity of access.

Solutions & startups

The default choice in new builds and services; laggards adopt to stay compliant or competitive.

Orchestration

Coordination runs through ordinary sector institutions; no special backbone is required.

Policy & regulation

The practice is the regulatory default; exemptions need justification.

Capital

Lenders, insurers and budgets treat it as standard risk, at scale, on ordinary terms.

9

Self-sustaining

The system reproduces it without champions.
Public opinion

Absence is unacceptable: the public treats the protection as a right.

Research & evidence

The field maintains its own knowledge institutions: journals, chairs, training pipelines.

Solutions & startups

Improvement continues through ordinary competition, without mission-driven actors.

Orchestration

The founding orchestrator can exit with no loss of function.

Policy & regulation

Embedded across the statute book; survives changes of government.

Capital

Self-financing through normal revenue, budgets and insurance; catalytic money is no longer needed.

This is a working draft, published to be argued with. Scores are dated, evidence-backed and revised as the work moves; the cell wording will be stress-tested against further fields before v1.

Lineage: NASA Technology Readiness Levels · ARENA Commercial Readiness Index · Innovation Fund Denmark Societal Readiness Levels · Impact Shakers Impact Readiness Levels (CC BY-NC 4.0) · the Collective Impact conditions.